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February 15th, 2010 by Wadds

Experiment: using Google Insight to predict company revenues

How good are your planning skills? Would you be prepared to put your money where your mouse is and buy shares in a company that you identified as a good investment prospect?

I doubt that many people would. But this could be the outcome of a project driven by Google Insight. Wikinut founder Andy Walton posted a comment about his experiment after I blogged about the application of Google Insight to identify the likely success of a campaign.

Walton’s contention is that Google Insights can be used to link search volumes to product usage and revenue for brands that [are] unique enough to avoid cross over with unrelated searches.

“The ability to query Google’s massive store of historical search query information offers many possibilities, one of which is accurate prediction of online company revenues,” he says.

Walton has compared the historical revenues for Bwin against search volumes since 2004 and with the exception of one year has found a correlation. He has used this match to predict the likely outcome for 2009.

“The 2009 prediction is showing -7%, indicating a tough year for Bwin, which is a bold prediction given at the third quarter mark they were 3.5% ahead of 2008,” said Walton.

We’ll have to wait until Bwin announces its results in April to find out if his methodology stacks.

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December 3rd, 2009 by Wadds

Speed blog community: Twitter as a consumer rights tool and digital insight on Katie and Pete

Here are two really cracking posts from the Speed blog network.

In a story that will bring a cheer to anyone that has tried to contest a parking fine Laurena launched a personal Twitter campaign against Lewisham Council. It was successful and her fine was overturned.

laurenaClare has an itch. She thinks the ongoing Katie versus Pete saga is an orchestrated campaign aimed at driving the profile and earning power of the tabloid duo. Now thanks to a planning exercise she has the evidence to support her claim: 1+1 equals a lot more than two.

clare

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September 21st, 2009 by Wadds

Scotland needs to work on its SEO

We can find no evidence of any reputational impact to Scotland online as a result of the Scottish government’s decision to release Abdul Baset Ali al-Megrahi, the Libyan convicted of the Lockerbie bombing.

The mainstream media reported last week that businesses in Scotland were concerned about the impact of the decision on Scottish business particularly with the US.

We’ve looked hard and believe that claims of a boycott have been largely exaggerated. Its a good old fashioned PR stunt to drive interest in Scottish products.

But results from Google Insights for Search do show that searches around keywords relating to Scottish products are cyclically focussed around Summer and Christmas and that search volumes have been in decline since 2006.

Search term: “scotch”
Search term:  “Scottish shortbread”
Search term: “Visit Scotland”
Search term: “Scottish tartan”

August 19th, 2009 by Wadds

Google Insight predicts likely success of online campaigns

Image representing Google as depicted in Crunc...
Image via CrunchBase

Google released an update yesterday to its Insight tool that provides information on historical search trends. It now includes now includes predictions for future search volumes.

Google Insight was already a powerful tool for campaign planning. The addition of predictive data makes its possible to model search volumes around keyword scenarios.

Now you can predict how successful an SEO campaign is likely to before its launched.

It also provides interesting insights into market dynamics. Andy Smith got there first. He’s punched a series of keyword strings through the new Google tool.

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