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August 2nd, 2011 by Wadds

Broadcast is booming, but why?

May 24th, 2010 by Wadds

Will the iPad kill print? Will it hell

Steve Jobs while presenting the iPad in San Fr...
Image via Wikipedia

I returned to the NEC, Birmingham today to participate in PIRA’s Great Print Debates for a session that pitched the iPad against print.

The iPad will no more spell the end of print than any previous generation of technology. Radios, TVs, PCs, CD-ROMs and the internet were all at one time set to hasten the demise of print.

The iPad is simply another device in the ongoing narrative of an industry reeling from the shift towards advertising online, the internet as a low cost real time distribution platform, and competition for consumer attention from screen based media.

Frank Romano, Professor Emeritus, Rochester Institute of Technology, did an excellent job as chair in navigating the issues facing the print industry. He divided the market up into three segments for ease of the discussion. Here’s a summary of the debate.

  • Newspapers – the game was up long before Apple dreamt up the iPad. Newspapers have never recovered from the loss of classified advertising to online and the availability of free news content. Publishers are valiantly trying to build alternative funding models ranging from micro payments to clubs and from firewalls to traffic-baiting content supported by ads.
  • Books – the market splits clearly into fiction and non-fiction. Consumers are unlikely to give-up the convenience or familiarity of paperbacks or the kudos of a recently published hardback any time soon. Electronic books are likely to become a convenience item for travellers but are unlikely to make a significant impact on print sales. Non-fiction books are likely to move online in time as a digital format provides a means to promote richer content, revisions and updates, and is a means to create a community.
  • Magazines – There’s strong evidence to support the view that the future of business-to-business magazines lies in a digital model as display advertising continues to decline and content moves to the web. But the story for consumer titles is very different with several standout successes. Magazines are artefacts typically focused around a rich content proposition or strong niche. As long as publishers can create compelling content and the cost of publication and distribution makes it viable the consumer magazine industry will continue.

You can follow the conversation after the debate on the IPEX forum on LinkedIn.

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May 4th, 2010 by Wadds

ABC Multi-Platform March report: paywalls are coming; bulks out

The ABC Multi-Platform numbers are in for March and continue the narrative of a declining print media. But that’s not the whole story.

Print is down year-on-year. All the broadsheets, with the exception of The Financial Times (-6.41 per cent) report double digit percentage falls year-on-year. But the decline is due at least in part to newspapers stripping out bulk distribution (deals where papers are distributed free to customers at outlets such as airlines and hotels).

Here’s Roy Greenslade writing in the Guardian:

“Are there reasons to be cheerful about another set of newspaper circulation statistics that, at face value, look as depressing as ever? Well, one definite plus is that the figures are getting “cleaner” by the month. The gradual retreat by several titles from the use of bulk sales is one of the major causes of apparently bad year-on-year falls.”

News International has pulled its online titles (thesun.co.uk and thetimes.co.uk) from the scrutiny of the auditor ahead of the launch of thetimes.co.uk paywall in June.

MailOnline pursuing its celebrity-Google-baiting agenda is the fastest growing online property, and largest by audience, followed by guardian.co.uk.

Here’s the detail.

Daily Av.
March ’10
_
Daily Av.
March ’09
_
Year/Year
[%]
_
The Times 502,436 600,210 -16.29
The Guardian 283,063 340,952 -16.98
The Independent 184,137 205,308 -10.31
The Daily Telegraph 686,679 764,748 -10.21
The People 532,140 580,815 -8.38
Daily Express 668,273 725,841 -7.93
Financial Times 401,286 428,766 -6.41
Daily Mirror 1,247,013 1,340,131 -6.95
News of the World 2,904,566 3,016,329 -3.71
Daily Mail 2,082,352 2,146,783 -3.00
The Sun 3,005,308 3,068,035 -2.04
Daily Star 827,005 819,880 0.87

Table: National newspapers – print

_

Daily Av.
March ’10
_
Daily Av.
March ’09
_
Year/Year
[%]
_
MailOnline 2,246,746 1,383,205 62.43
guardian.co.uk 1,852,293 1,322,314 40.08
Mirror Group Digital 467,711 346,299 35.06
Telegraph 1,557,118 1,398,106 11.37
FT.com N/A 626,385
Times Online N/A 1,152,223
The Sun N/A 1,229,518

Table 2: National newspapers – online

_

Daily Av.
March ’10
_
Daily Av.
March ’09
_
Year/Year
[%]
_
The Observer 331,488 431,017 -23.09
The Sunday Telegraph 509,754 577,886 -11.79
Sunday Express 570,040 636,153 -10.39
The Sunday Times 1,111,660 1,240,348 -10.38
Independent on Sunday 154,285 167,763 -8.03
Sunday Post 337,052 361,371 -6.73
Sunday Mirror 1,147,272 1,228,927 -6.64
Daily Star Sunday 341,824 362,076 -5.59
The Mail on Sunday 1,952,697 1,997,060 -2.22

Table 3: Sunday newspapers – print

March 26th, 2010 by Wadds

Sunday newspaper circulation figures: ABC Multi-Platform Monthly Report – February 2010

March 26th, 2010 by Wadds

Daily newspaper circulation figures: ABC Multi-Platform Monthly Report – February 2010

March 5th, 2010 by Wadds

Print is dead. Says who?

March 2nd, 2010 by Wadds

Future of media according to Sorrell

Sir Martin Sorrell shared a three-point prediction for the future of media with the audience at the FT Digital Media & Broadcasting conference this morning.

  • Consumers need to pay for content. You cannot sustain an online media property on an advertising model alone
  • Consolidation among media outlets will result as publishers continue to test different payment models to varying degrees of success
  • Finally, society at large will need to decide what it wants the future of its media landscape to look like and what determine what alternative funding mechanisms are appropriate
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October 15th, 2009 by Wadds

Mainstream media audiences booming – unpicking the data

Accepted wisdom says that the audience for mainstream media is in decline in an inverse relationship to the growth in our appetite for social media. But it simplify isn’t the case. Mainstream media consumption is on the rise.

I’ve spent the last few weeks unpicking the latest audited audience statistics to find out what is really happening in mainstream media-land in the UK.

The most recent audience figures from BARB (broadcast TV), RAJAR (radio) and ABC (newspapers) show a decline in our appetite for print but year-on-year rises elsewhere. And while print audiences may be falling, ABCe figures report unprecedented audiences on the web.

Herein lies the issue and the opportunity for mainstream media publishers: audiences aren’t in decline but they are fragmenting across the web. Despite the rise of Facebook, Twitter and YouTube people remain firmly loyal to mainstream media brands.

This is a narrative about an industry undergoing a radical shift in its search for a new business model following the breakdown of the advertising and subscription funded models.

I haven’t got any answers but here are the actual numbers.

print_MSM_j
Table: Newspapers online (ABCe via MediaTel and Press Gazette – August 2009)

online_MSM
Table: Newspapers print (ABC via MediaTel and Press Gazette – August 2009)

BARB_j_jpeg
Table: Television multi-channel viewing summary (BARB – 20 Sept to 28 Sept)

RAJAR_j
Table: Radio (RAJAR – Q2 2009)

August 29th, 2009 by Wadds

Future of print media on Sky News

I did a slot on Sky News yesterday about the future of print media. Here’s a follow-up article that I wrote for the Sky web site that discusses the commercial pressures in the UK newspaper industry, the prospect of charging more for internet news content and the future of the TV licence in the UK.

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May 28th, 2009 by Wadds

Trendwatch: Hyperlocalism

Bloggers coached or edited by journalists to produce an alternative to regional media, either online, or in print, using emerging blog-to-publishing tools such as Tabbliod or being developed by the team behind the Things Our Friends Wrote On The Internet 2008 project.